(Feb. 22 last update: all Saturday 2/21 votes are now known.)
The actual votes are on the tracking spreadsheet as usual, so here I'll just summarize predictions from yesterday, versus the actual vote outcome.
Final results for Saturday Feb. 21 voting:
Yes votes: 9
No votes: 6
No-to-yes flips: 4 out of a target 5
Nasty surprises: 0
Amazingly positive surprises: 0
Arkansas
Category: FLIP
Result: Successful, flipped to "yes" vote.
Eastern Oregon
Category: HOLD
Result: Successful, held at "yes" vote
Giddings-Lovejoy
Category: HOLD
Result: Successful, held at "yes" vote
Greater Atlanta
Category: FLIP
Result: Successful, flipped to "yes" vote
Homestead
Category: FLIP
Result: Unsuccessful, fell 3 votes short
John Knox
Category: HOLD
Result: Successful, held at "yes" vote
Lake Erie
Category: LONG SHOT
Result: unsuccessful, didn't flip (that's why it was "long shot")
Mid-Kentucky
Category: HOLD
Result: Successful, held at "yes" vote
New Hope
Category: FLIP
Result: Successful, flipped to "yes" vote
North Alabama
Category: SAM (history of strong anti-equality votes)
Result: Miracle unsuccessful, but comes in at a solid 39% YES support.
Ohio Valley
Category: FLIP
Result: Successful, flipped to "yes" vote
Sacramento
Category: LONG SHOT
Result: unsuccessful, didn't flip, but shifted 8% pro-equality
Santa Fe (not listed in Feb. 20 pre-weekend listing - I didn't know they were going to vote)
Category: HOLD
Result: Successful, held at "yes" vote
The James
Category: LONG SHOT
Result: Unsuccessful, didn't flip (but again, it was a long shot...)
Tropical Florida
Category: SAM (history of strong anti-equality votes)
Result: Miracle unsuccessful, and strong anti-equality shift (there's one in every crowd...)
